16 Jun 2022

(美國加息) 聯儲局宣布加息0.75厘 近28年來最大加息幅度
[US interest rate hike] The Fed announced a 0.75% rate hike, the largest rate hike in nearly 28 years

美國聯儲局一如市場預期宣布加息0.75厘，屬於1994年來最大升幅，聯邦基金利率目標區間升至1.5厘至1.75厘，縮減資產負債表將按計劃進行。近日在美國宣布加息前，港元拆息已經逐步攀升，市場預期今年內本港按揭息率或升至2厘水平。
據聯儲局聲明指，下定決心將通脹率恢復至2%的目標水平，預期持續加息是適當做法，並將高度關注通脹風險。美國失業率到2024年達到4.1%，通脹率降至2.2%。
聯儲局又指，整體經濟活動似乎已經回升，就業增長強勁，但通脹高企反映與疫情相關的供需失衡、能源價格上升，以及更廣泛的價格壓力。
聯儲局主席鮑威爾表示，若通脹率下降，即使失業率達到4.1%，仍然是歷史上較低水平，但承認在降低通脹率同時維持低失業率並不容易，聯儲局未見到通脹回落有令人信服的證據前，不會輕言勝利，但期望短期取得進展，整體消費開支仍然強勁，就業增長放緩但仍然穩健，經濟未見更大範圍放緩跡象，有信心達致經濟軟著陸。
鮑威爾亦指，正注視多次加息對住宅投資及樓價的影響，估計在供應受限的情況下，樓價在一段時間內維持上升。

As expected by the market, the US Federal Reserve announced a 0.75% interest rate hike, the largest increase since 1994. The target range of the federal funds rate was raised to 1.5% to 1.75%, and the reduction of the balance sheet will proceed as planned. Before the US announced a rate hike recently, the Hong Kong dollar interest rate has been gradually rising. The market expects that the mortgage rate in Hong Kong may rise to the level of 2% within this year.
According to the Federal Reserve statement, it is determined to return the inflation rate to the target level of 2%, and it is expected that continued interest rate hikes are appropriate, and will be highly concerned about inflation risks. The U.S. unemployment rate hits 4.1% by 2024 and inflation falls to 2.2%.